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SemiAnalysis goodput-expense model, Large LLM Pretrain scenario (5,184 GB300 GPUs, $4/GPU-hr): Gold-tier, hyperscaler and Silver-tier providers

6.1% / 10.5% / 20.9% goodput expensemodeled

Value kindmodeled — Interpret this value according to its displayed kind, scope, source, and as-of date.
ScopeCalculator output for one large-pretraining scenario with stated fault-tolerance and repair-time assumptions, expressed as goodput-expense uplift. The same model gives 0.23–0.96% for multimodal RL research and about 0.5% of TCO for inference endpoints. Not a measured provider loss rate.
As of2026-04-20
SourceSemiAnalysis, How Much Do GPU Clusters Really Cost? (ClusterMAX 2.1 update), 20 April 2026.
Reviewchecking…review by 2027-01-20 · standard cadence
Recorded changeslast 2026-10-16 · 2 revisions tracked
Claim idreliability-tax-paid-gpu-hours-lost-to-failures

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